• Sun. Feb 28th, 2021

Caesars Inventory Is Catalyst-Wealthy Story Certain to Hit Triple Digits, Says Analyst

BySpeed Casino

Jan 23, 2021

Posted on: January 22, 2021, 09:32h. 
Final up to date on: January 22, 2021, 12:34h.

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Caesars Leisure (NASDAQ:CZR) is increased by greater than eight % to start out 2021 and 111 % over the previous six months. Citing an array of catalysts, one analyst says there’s extra upside the place that got here from for the Harrah’s operator.

Caesars Palace Las Vegas, seen right here. An analyst sees so much to love with the inventory. (Picture: Barron’s)

In a notice to shoppers in the present day, Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski reiterates a “purchase” score on Caesars inventory, whereas lifting his worth goal on the title to $105 from $95. The brand new forecast implies upside of greater than 25 % from present ranges.

Whereas COVID headwinds may strain near-term estimates as journey/gathering restrictions stay in place (and will worsen), we consider CZR stays properly positioned long-term because the world ultimately recovers from this pandemic, given their compelling asset combine (Vegas/regionals/sports activities betting/iGaming),” mentioned the analyst.

Earlier this month, Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak (D) prolonged for 30 days the coverage that casinos, bars, and eating places should cap capability at 25 % to stem the unfold of the coronavirus. Consultants query the effectiveness of that protocol and the bounds on visitors crimps Caesars, which runs 17 gaming venues within the Silver State.
Catalysts Can Outlast COVID-19
Because the second-largest operator on the Las Vegas Strip, Caesars inventory is lengthy thought to be a play on vaccine distribution and an financial rebound within the largest home gaming hub. The tempo of that restoration stays sluggish, however there’s extra to the story than simply Sin Metropolis belongings.
“The William Hill deal closes late-1Q to early-2Q which ought to trigger traders to start out considering extra in regards to the long-term potentialities behind CZR’s sports activities betting/iGaming platform,” mentioned Wieczynski. “As soon as the deal closes, we’d count on administration to start out laying out extra particulars behind a doable sports activities betting/iGaming spinout, or what the earnings energy of the 100% managed entity may seem like.”

The analyst says one other potential spark for Caesars is the 55 and up age demographic. He notes that as extra of them get vaccinated, pent-up demand might be unleashed as quickly as this 12 months. Add that into the sports activities betting thesis, and there’s room for extra upside within the inventory.

“We consider there are eight to 12 states that would go down the trail of legalizing sports activities betting this 12 months which ought to proceed to help long-term complete addressable market (TAM) estimates (regardless of how loopy they’re),” mentioned Wieczynski.
Different Levers to Pull
The Stifel analyst factors out that Caesars stays intent on divesting a Strip property, and that course of may speed up as coronavirus vaccines are distributed on a broader scale. Including up the aforementioned factors creates a doubtlessly profitable deleveraging missive, in line with Wieczynski.
“Each catalyst we identified ought to assist drive leverage decrease. Any deleveraging occasion that CZR can take part in will solely drive the fairness worth increased, given leverage is likely one of the largest overhangs on this story,” he writes.
Firming up the stability sheet is significant, as a result of Caesars carried $16.2 billion in liabilities as of the tip of the third quarter. A lot of that debt is junk-rated, which means increased curiosity expense.
It may take a while, however trimming that burden is feasible. Wieczynski says Caesars can high the $900 million in price efficiencies promised by way of final 12 months’s merger with Eldorado Resorts, and that the operator may generate as a lot as $8.75 a share in free money move by 2023.

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