• Thu. May 13th, 2021

Boyd Margin Story Impresses, Analyst Says M&A, Dividend Resumption Attainable

BySpeed Casino

Apr 29, 2021

Posted on: April 28, 2021, 09:51h. 
Final up to date on: April 28, 2021, 11:17h.

Todd Shriber Learn Extra

Boyd Gaming (NYSE:BYD) reported better-than-expected first-quarter outcomes on Tuesday. However the actual story is ongoing margin enlargement and indicators that March visitors momentum is carrying over to April.

A person walks in entrance of Boyd’s Fremont On line casino in a vacant downtown Las Vegas throughout the pandemic. Analysts are enthusiastic on the inventory. (Picture: Fox5 Las Vegas)

That might be an indication the Orleans operator will ship one other spherical of spectacular knowledge for the present quarter, and a few analysts are forecasting extra upside for Boyd inventory. Macquarie’s Chad Beynon charges the regional gaming operator “impartial,” however he boosted his worth goal on the title to $77 from $62. That suggests upside of 11.5 % from the April 27 shut, and is effectively above the consensus forecast of round $60.

Boyd’s 100% regional mannequin continues to see margin tailwinds because of structural adjustments introduced on by COVID-19,” stated Beynon in a observe to purchasers.

“First-quarter margins expanded 1,200 foundation factors over 1Q19. April outcomes have carried over from March, and resort reservations are on the highest ranges within the final 12 months.”
Las Vegas-based Boyd operates 28 gaming venues throughout 10 states, together with 11 in its house market. In Sin Metropolis, Boyd is the most important operator downtown, and derives a major chunk of its income from the resurgent Las Vegas locals (LVLs) phase.
Sources of Energy for Boyd Inventory
Mounting indicators that Las Vegas locals are getting coronavirus vaccines and desirous to return to their favourite casinos, coupled with Boyd’s enviable perch in serving that demographic, is a catalyst for the shares. However there’s extra to the story.

Within the first quarter, LVLs and Boyd’s downtown venues mixed for 35 % of earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and restructuring or lease prices (EBITDAR). The rest derived from the operator’s casinos within the Midwest and the South. LVL margins had been one of the best of the three segments, however income at midwestern and southern venues topped what was notched within the comparable interval in 2019.

Margin enlargement and income progress within the LVL demographic and areas exterior Nevada can assist Boyd inventory, as downtown Las Vegas stays sluggish. Macquarie’s Beynon notes the operator’s market share in that a part of town is at present 10 %, in comparison with a pre-pandemic clip of 25 %.
He expects Boyd’s downtown earnings earlier than curiosity, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) will slide 49 % this 12 months in comparison with 2019, earlier than rising six % in 2022.
Looming On-line Catalysts
Whereas Boyd isn’t the title many traders consider in the case of on-line sports activities betting, the corporate has levers in that area by way of its 5 % possession of FanDuel – a trait some analysts consider isn’t precisely mirrored in Boyd inventory.

From a web-based standpoint, Boyd’s FanDuel partnership and proprietary iGaming launch (this quarter) ought to result in constructive EBITDA of $20 million in 2021,” stated Beyon.

The analyst values the operators core land-based on line casino enterprise at $59 a share, and on-line casinos and sports activities betting at $17.
He provides that as leverage decreases, Boyd might resume its dividend, which was suspended final 12 months due to the pandemic, or hunt down “accretive” merger and acquisition alternatives later this 12 months.

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